NV Harris 49-46
NC Harris 48-46
WI Harris 49-47
GA Harris 48-46
PA Harris 49-47
MI Harris 50-47
AZ Harris 49-45
Throw in Iowa +3
2024 It's the women stupid!
Better luck this time around with the margins of error.
Where is the hotly contested Florida where they had Biden winning by 3 in 2020 ?
Maybe BOZO or Squirt can chime in .
The 2020 Siena College poll found Joe Biden to have a nine-point national advantage over Trump among likely voters. Biden went on to win with a 4.5-point gap, only half of what the polling had measured.
In the 2020 battleground polling released on November 1 of that year, Siena College found Biden ahead by six points in Arizona, three points in Florida, six points in Pennsylvania, 11 points in Wisconsin.
Biden did end up winning Arizona despite wider expectations of a Trump victory, but only sneaking the win with a .3-point win—a mere 10,500 votes, roughly. Trump handily won Florida by 3.5 points, and Biden did take back Pennsylvania, but again only with a slight gap of around 1.16 points.
Biden also did end up taking Wisconsin, but by a much slighter .63-point gap.